Daily Fantasy Basketball Jump Ball 2.26 February 26, 2018  |  Matt Terelle


Matt’s Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks

Guard

Top Play:

Russell Westbrook – Bestbrook is always in play, if you can afford him. He draws an especially tasty matchup against a weak Orlando defense this evening. Orlando is allowing the fifth-most fantasy points per game to the point guard position this season. Russ struggled with his shot against the Warriors on Saturday but he still contributed a full stat line and finished with 44 DK points. Of course, he has 70+ point upside any time he takes the court. Get him into lineups if you can fit him tonight.

Justin’s Rapid Reaction: I’m a big fan of Westbrook, but I’ll likely be going cheaper at PG because of the options.

Value Play:

Josh Jackson – Jackson has been one of the league’s top rookies this season. He is coming off one of his slowest games in some time as he managed just 14.3 DK points in 19 minutes of action. The poor outing could serve to suppress Jackson’s ownership tonight as he gets set to take on the Pelicans. New Orleans has been very welcoming to opposing two guards, allowing the fourth-most fantasy points per game to the position this season. Jackson is the cheapest he has been on DK since February 2 and is primed to bounce back in a big way tonight. He’s a great cap saver in all formats.

Justin’s Rapid Reaction: Jackson has looked great since being unleashed, and I like him quite a bit as a salary relief option.

 

 

Forward

Top Play:

Kevin Durant – Durant has been playing well over his past three games, averaging 52.9 DK points per contest over that span. The star small forward is just two games removed from a 50-point game against the Portland Trailblazers, a game which served to break up a bit of a slow stretch for him. Durant will square off against a New York defense that has been vulnerable to opposing small forwards, allowing the eighth-most DK points per game to the position this season. Due to Golden State’s spread the wealth attack on offense, I usually prefer Durant in tournaments, although the favorable matchup puts him in play in all formats tonight.

Justin’s Rapid Reaction: I’ll be paying up for Anthony Davis tonight, meaning Durant won’t fit in my lineups.

Value Play: 

Bobby Portis – Portis is a bit pricier than I usually like to target for a value play, but he is just one game removed from a sublime effort which saw him score a career-high 38 points this past Thursday. As a result, Portis’ salary has climbed, but he’s still priced well below the top options on the slate. Despite the huge game this past Thursday, Portis may be overlooked this evening as Portis’ first game after his 38-point outburst didn’t go as well as he played just 20 minutes and finished with 15 points. While his projected outcome most nights will probably fall somewhere in between the past two games, Portis is a fine option for all leagues tonight, especially against a Nets defense that is allowing the second-most fantasy points per game to enemy power forwards.

Justin’s Rapid Reaction: Portis is in a great spot tonight, and he comes with absurd upside when he is given the minutes.

 

 

Center

Top play:

Clint Capela – Once you get past KAT and Drummond, this slate is pretty thin at the center position, which puts Capela squarely on the radar as a top play. The young big man had been on fire for most of February before turning in a slow game against the Nuggets on Sunday. Despite the slow outing, Capela has shown that he has huge upside playing in an explosive Houston offense. The matchup against Utah is a tough one as they have been solid against centers this season. That should serve to keep Capela’s ownership down. He’s a top choice tonight, especially in GPPs.

Justin’s Rapid Reaction: It’s tough to argue with Capela, but there are so many great center options tonight that he is not at the top of my list.

Value play:

Brook Lopez – Lopez isn’t a very safe option tonight, but he does set up as a top value option at the center position. The veteran center has been consistently seeing minutes in the mid-20s of late, which gives him a good shot to hit value on his low salary on most nights. He’s best deployed as a cap-saving option in tournaments tonight as the production is a bit too inconsistent for cash games.

Justin’s Rapid Reaction: I don’t see a real reason to use Lopez with the other options on the board unless you want to get extremely low ownership.

 

 


Justin’s Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks

 

Guard

Top Play:

Jrue Holiday – Holiday has been flying under the radar with Davis on the team, but he makes an elite option. Holiday has scored between 40 and 55 DK points in each of his last four games, but he still comes with a fairly low price tag. He is a player that thrives in transition, and Phoenix has one of the worst transition defenses in the NBA. That will lead to a few easy buckets to add to his quiet triple-double potential. Utilizing Holiday, especially in a New Orleans stack, is a great option tonight.

Matt’s Rapid Reaction: Holiday has been excellent of late and should have little trouble paying off for owners who use him tonight.

Value Play:      

Trey Burke – I will be using Burke in every league tonight. The Knicks said they want to give him more minutes coming out of the All-Star Break, and he has played 26 and 30 minutes in his first two games since then. More importantly, he has taken 19 and 22 shots in those games, scoring 40.5 and 44.5 DK points. He is easily exceeding value, and it’s clear that he has the green light whenever he is on the court. Get him in your lineups, and do not look back.

Matt’s Rapid Reaction: Burke has been thriving for the Knicks and should continue to fill a big role on offense with Porzingis out. I, too, like him in all leagues tonight.

 

 

Forward

Top Play:

Anthony Davis – Davis is arguably the top play on the slate. There are plenty of salary relief options, as well, which makes Davis an easy player to fit into the lineup. He has now scored 90.25, 77.25, 60, and 87.75 (78.8 DK points per game) DK points in his last four games. He has taken 30+ shots in two of those games, and he has been able to contribute in each of the five categories in all of those games. He is an elite option in all leagues tonight.

Matt’s Rapid Reaction: Davis should absolutely shred the Suns tonight. He is worth building lineups around in all formats.

Value Play: 

Nemanja Bjelica – Jimmy Butler is dealing with an injury, meaning Bjelica will be locked into big minutes. He only scored 22.75 DK points in his last game, but more importantly, he was able to play 33 minutes in that game. When given the time, Bjelica comes with tremendous upside. He is also cheap enough to be considered in cash games, as well as tournaments. He gets a great matchup against the Sacramento Kings, who have struggled defensively this season. Bjelica can be considered in all leagues.

Matt’s Rapid Reaction: Bjelica sets up as a great value option with Butler sidelined with a knee issue. Use him everywhere.

 

 

Center

Top play:

Karl-Anthony Towns – Towns certainly comes with some risk for his price tag, but he also comes with elite upside. He gets a great matchup against the Sacramento Kings, who have struggled against big men this season. In two games against the Kings this season, KAT is averaging 29.5 points, 11.0 rebounds, 5.5 assists, 4.0 blocks, and 1.0 steal in 35.5 minutes per game. His floor is sitting around 40 DK points, which is not awful, but that is too low for value. We’re looking for his upside tonight, making him a GPP only option.

Matt’s Rapid Reaction: KAT against the Kings is an extremely tasty matchup. The price tag may scare some off but he will be worth it tonight.

Value play: 

Alex Len – Len makes a great option tonight, but only once Tyson Chandler is ruled out. Len has seen bigger minutes over his last three games, scoring 33.75, 37.25, and 38.75 DK points in those games. He comes with tremendous upside for a low price tag, and he has looked great in extended minutes for the majority of this season. He also gets a solid matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans, and he is a great bet to exceed value tonight. Len can be used in all leagues.

Matt’s Rapid Reaction: Len usually plays well when he gets enough playing time, just be sure that Chandler is ruled out first.

 

Both Writers Will Gladly Respond to Questions and Comments on Twitter at @balessjustin and @supermt.

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