Elite Eight – NBA DFS January 12th
January 12, 2018 | phil_beneteau89
In this segment, I will share my top four plays of the night; one center, one guard, one forward, one wildcard play. I will also share my top four value plays of the night; one center, one guard, one forward, and one wildcard play. I will also have the Vegas posted lines which will help you make sharper calls when looking at a high over/under as well as the spreads to gauge which games could end up in a blowout.
(All Vegas lines are taken off Bodog betting)
Utah Jazz at Charlotte Hornets – CHA are favored by 4.5 / Over/Under: 206
Cleveland Cavaliers at Indiana Pacers – CLE are favored by 2.5 / Over/Under: 221
Orlando Magic at Washington Wizards – WAS are favored by 10 / Over/Under: 218
Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks – ATL are favored by 3 / Over/Under: 211
Golden State at Milwaukee Bucks – GSW are favored by 4.5 / Over/Under: 223.5
New York Knicks at Minnesota Timberwolves – MIN are favored by 8.5 / Over/Under: 208.5
Portland Trail Blazers at New Orleans Pelicans – NOP re favored by 3 / Over/Under: 219
Memphis Grizzlies at Denver Nuggets – DEN are favored by 6.5 / Over/Under: 204.5
Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns – HOU are favored by 7 / Over/Under: 228.5
Tonight features a nine game slate with some very nice high priced plays and game stacks. The Indiana Pacers are in a great spot tonight against the struggling Cavaliers, while the Memphis Grizzlies will see the largest boost in pace tonight against the Denver Nuggets.
Guard: Victor Oladipo (PG/SG) – IND – DraftKings: $9,000; FanDuel: $9,500
The Cleveland Cavaliers has been getting beat down lately, and I am expecting them to wake up a bit tonight and keep this game close against the Pacers. Oladipo produced 46.5 DK points in their first meeting this year, and tonight he should be able to reach the 50 point mark. The Cavaliers are showing no signs of defense, and Oladipo should feast against the miserable team. He makes a great stacking option with PF/C Domantas Sabonis who is starting once again for the injured Myles Turner. He has 40 point upside himself.
Forward: T.J. Warren (SF/PF) – PHX – DraftKings: $6,200; FanDuel: $7,500
The Suns host the Rockets tonight in a game that features the highest total on the board. Warren is far too cheap on DraftKings for a player who has already been hitting value in five straight games. He makes for an elite play in a match up that should feature plenty of scoring. Warren is a great way to run it back in your stacks if you play any Houston Rockets tonight.
Center: Clint Capela (C) – HOU – DraftKings: $7,100; FanDuel: $7,600
Speaking of Houston Rockets, Clint Capela is my must-play of the night. He is far too cheap and should be easily flirting with a mid 40 point night tonight against the weak rebounding Suns. The suns rank in in the bottom of defending center,s and Capela is seeing more usage with Harden off the court. Expect big things from this star center.
Guard: Will Barton (SG/SF) – DEN – DraftKings: $5,500; FanDuel: $6,000
While his price is a little higher than I usually call values, Will Barton is popping in my models today. He is expected to play around 35 minutes and has a very positive positional match up against the Grizzlies today. With Gary Harris out tonight, Barton is expected to draw the start and makes him a great play in a game that could go overlooked by some as it features the lowest total on this nine game slate.
Forward: Lance Stephenson (SG/SF) – IND – DraftKings: $4,700; FanDuel: $5,000
I can not seem to get away from this Cavaliers and Pacers game tonight. The forwards for the Pacers are all very enticing and I am looking to fit them in as great value plays, even in other stacks. I believe that exposure to this game is very important and that the Cavaliers will keep it a close game, and it will go over the total set in Vegas.
Center: Tristan Thompson (PF/C) – CLE – DraftKings: $3,900; FanDuel: $3,900
Box score watchers may look at this play and think that he is not playing enough minutes to earn a spot on their roster, especially on the back end of back-to-back games. While that may be true, I still expect Thompson to play his average 22 minutes and in a great match up with the Pacers, he is a fantastic GPP punt if you are playing him on FanDuel. He may not have the ceiling some managers are looking for, but I believe that he has his best night of the season and puts up over 30 DK points tonight, including a double double as the Cavaliers show some life tonight.
Wildcard: Starting Center for Phoenix Suns
At this point, I have not heard about who will be starting for the Suns tonight, but if news does come out early, or if you are playing in any late games, I believe a great key to success tonight will be picking the right center from the Suns. Tyson Chandler has been seeing the most playing time of all of them lately and would make a great game stack play with any Rockets or Suns players. The only player I would worry about is Alex Len. He is only a GPP play, but does have upside, even though it has been tough to come by of late. Tyson Chandler is my main focus tonight from this center grouping.
Thanks for reading, if you have any questions or comments feel free to tweet me at @fantasyphilled !