Daily Fantasy NBA Cheat Sheet: Wednesday, December 6th (UPDATED)
December 6, 2017 | Spencer L
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UPDATE – 6:00 ET
*Sample lineups have changed. View them below.
Jaylen Brown and Marcus Morris OUT. Marcus Smart becomes a decent DFS filler if you need someone in his salary range. Jayson Tatum and Terry Rozier are tournament plays in the wake of this news.
Draymond Green upgraded to questionable. Obviously we would need Draymond to be ruled out in order to feel comfortable with Jordan Bell in our lineups.
Danilo Gallinari will play. He’ll likely start at power forward while Wes Johnson keeps starting at PF. We’ll take a wait-and-see approach with Gallo in terms of minutes and production.
INJURY REPORT – 12:30pm ET
Draymond Green doubtful. We’ll need to see what Steve Kerr decides here. Andre Iguodala or Jordan Bell could see the start in Draymond’s place, depending if the Warriors go smaller or not. Both are now on the fantasy radar. We aren’t sure what the minutes will look like for Bell, but he’s a strong FP/minute producer who went for 43 FP in 26 minutes the last time Draymond sat. He’s worth the risk as a near-minimum salary guy.
Stephen Curry out. Patrick McCaw out. Kevin Durant, and Klay Thompson will see more usage, and they look particularly good in this matchup. With McCaw also out, Shaun Livingston could now see 25-30 minutes. He’s somewhat of a risk/reward play without much usage considering the players around him. Still, he’s a reasonable DFS prospect considering the playing time boost.
Anthony Davis doubtful. DeMarcus Cousins and Jrue Holiday will continue to carry the offensive workload with Davis on the mend.
Kyle Anderson out. He’ll miss at least a couple of weeks. His minutes will likely be split between Rudy Gay, Bryn Forbes, and Danny Green. Rudy Gay saw 31 minutes (36 FP) with Anderson out last game.
Willie Cauley-Stein doubtful. Zach Randolph and Skal Labissiere could see more minutes. Randolph is a fine speculative play, given he has a strong probability of playing 30+ minutes.
Danilo Gallinari questionable. He was projected to return tonight, but still listed as questionable. He’ll likely have some sort of minute restriction even if he does check in.
These noteworthy players will continue to miss time: Tim Hardaway Jr, Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, John Collins, Terrence Ross, Hassan Whiteside, Kawhi Leonard, Blake Griffin, Patrick Beverley, Dewayne Dedmon, Mike Conley
*Check back ONE HOUR before lock for injury and optimal lineup updates*
Rajon Rondo (NO): Rondo is a nice pick tonight, playing in a high-scoring game vs Denver, who ranks 27th vs PGs and 21st in overall defensive efficiency. Not having Anthony Davis helps his fantasy floor/ceiling potential while shouldering a larger offensive workload.
Eric Bledsoe (MIL): Bledsoe is a fine all-around selection tonight. The salary looks good on both FanDuel and DraftKings. The matchup is somewhat mediocre, but I like the floor/upside combination in a competitive matchup vs Detroit. He’s not a 100% necessity, but Bledsoe makes for a solid blend you can feel confident in for cash games.
Shaun Livingston (GS): Stephen Curry, Patrick McCaw, and Draymond Green are out tonight, which could funnel more minutes towards Livingston. His usage rate is low, especially if starting alongside Klay and Durant. That makes him less of a priority pick even though the 25-30 minutes keeps him in DFS consideration. Just don’t expect a ton of upside here.
o Additional Notes:
Elfrid Payton (ORL) has gotten somewhat pricey on FanDuel, but the salary looks good on DraftKings (6.5) and Yahoo (27) to consider through all formats. Elfrid has showcased upside as of late, and this is a nice draw against an Atlanta team that ranks 28th vs PGs … On the other side of this matchup, Dennis Schroder (ATL) is a nice tournament pick worth borderline consideration in cash games. Orlando ranks 28th vs PGs and this is a competitive, high-scoring tilt … In the same price range is Kemba Walker (CHA), going against a Curry-less Golden State squad in a 218 over/under at home … If you need someone cheaper than Bledsoe, Payton, Schroder, and Walker on FanDuel – Reggie Jackson (DET) and Jeff Teague (MIN) make for fine picks at their given salary levels.
Klay Thompson (GS): Stephen Curry is out tonight, meaning Klay Thompson could see more shot attempts in the Golden State backcourt. The price and matchup align well also, as Charlotte ranks 21st vs SGs and top ten in pace. Klay makes for a better pick on FanDuel, where you need two SGs with less opportunity cost.
Jrue Holiday (NO): Holiday will look to pick up some offensive slack with Anthony Davis doubtful. He made good on that last game while piling up 47 FP in 38 minutes vs Golden State. That marks three of the past five games with 40+ FP for Holiday, who has been seeing a ridiculous amount of minutes (38-40) to secure his floor/ceiling fantasy combination. Denver ranks 23rd in defensive efficiency vs opposing backcourts.
E’Twaun Moore (NO): If you don’t have enough salary to make Holiday or Thompson work, you can dip down to E’Twaun Moore. With Anthony Davis doubtful, there’s a huge usage void that should be filled by Rondo, Holiday, Moore, and Cousins. E’Twaun Moore’s playing time has looked good as of late, averaging 36 minutes and 28 FPPG over his past three. The salary has yet to adjust, and this is a good matchup against Denver for Moore to surpass his value threshold of 25+ FP.
o Additional Notes:
I’m focusing on the three previously listed shooting guards for cash games through all three sites. Having said that, Will Barton (DEN) is a nice tournament pick with borderline cash consideration in that high-scoring Denver-NO tilt. Barton has been picking up more usage and rebounds with Jokic out, a trend that should continue tonight … Dwyane Wade (CLE) is a mid-range pick for tournaments. You’d like to see his minutes get into the 30’s, but it doesn’t look like that will happen. Still, Wade has averaged 34 FPPG and 24 minutes over his past five, looking comfortable in his current role for Cleveland. He’s mostly a GPP Pick, but I don’t mind him as the last piece of your cash game puzzle if you need someone in this price range.
Kevin Durant (GS): This is a really nice spot for Durant. He’s in a competitive, nationally televised matchup at Charlotte, who ranks eighth overall in pace. Having Stephen Curry out certainly helps Durant’s fantasy prospects, and he’s cheaper than other superstars on this slate. KD is certainly a priority spend in all formats.
DeAndre Bembry (ATL): Bembry helps offset the cost of Kevin Durant, especially if you are trying to get KD and Cousins in the same lineup. Atlanta is shorthanded in the frontcourt (Dedmon & Collins out), leading Bembry to average 24 minutes and 23 FPPG over the past two. We will certainly take that type of production for this near-minimum salary, and Bembry makes for a very nice SF2 filler on FanDuel.
o Additional Notes:
Pivoting down to Jimmy Butler (MIN) from Kevin Durant is an excellent tournament strategy on FanDuel. Butler is viable through all formats on DK (listed as SG) and Yahoo as well, looking like his old self with 50+ FP upside. His opponent, LAC, ranks 27th vs SFs … Rudy Gay (SA) is underpriced on DraftKings, where he can be considered a utility filler. Kyle Anderson’s absence helps his fantasy value … Courtney Lee (NYK) and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (CHA) are fine mid-range fillers. Lee should see more usage with Hardaway Jr out. MKG could log heavy minutes in an effort to guard Durant. These respective situations could lead them towards value … If Andre Iguodala (GS) starts tonight (Draymond Green out), he’ll be a solid punt play to consider instead of Bembry. Stay on the lookout for any news on that front.
Jordan Bell (GS): Draymond Green is doubtful tonight, meaning Jordan Bell should see more run (whether starting or not). There’s a chance the Warriors could play smaller, but Bell could log 20-25+ minutes regardless. He’s a strong FP/minute producer who posted 43 FP in 26 minutes the last time Draymond was out. Needless to say, he’s a fine pick through all formats even if we conservatively estimate his minutes around 18-20. There’s plenty of upside beyond that as well.
Kenneth Faried (DEN): Some may look towards Kenneth Faried as a risk/reward pick, but I dont mind him in cash games on FanDuel. Without multi-position eligibility on FD, Faried becomes more attractive with less opportunity cost. He’s a guy with proven DFS upside as long as he sees minutes. He should continue to get more run with Jokic out. On DraftKings, he’s more of a GPP pick or utility filler, as you can roster several centers in the PF/C/F spots.
Taj Gibson (MIN): Gibson is in a similar category to Faried. On DraftKings, I’ll be looking towards, Cousins, Drummond, Jordan Bell, Mason Plumlee and others to fill my power forward, center, and forward spots. On FanDuel, we have to pick from their strict PF list. That’s where economical fillers like Faried and Gibson come in to compliment Jordan Bell. Gibson will continue to log heavy minutes for the Timberwolves, giving him a nice floor/ceiling combination. Gibson has been over 28 FP in five of his past six games, including a 32 FP effort against this same Clippers team on Sunday.
o Additional Notes:
Kristaps Porzingis (NYK) is probable tonight. Even though Memphis ranks 25th vs opposing power forwards this season, Kristaps is more of a tournament play with higher-priority expenditures like Cousins and Durant on this slate … Thaddeus Young (IND) and Zach Randolph (SAC) are fine mid-range fillers in a similar conversation to the aforementioned likes of Faried and Gibson. Young should benefit from a nice matchup vs the Bulls, who rank 28th vs PFs and 22nd in rebound rate. Randolph could see minutes in the 30s with Willie Cauley-Stein doubtful, helping his fantasy cause … Kelly Olynyk (MIA) has a somewhat shaky fantasy profile, but he has displayed some upside with Hassan Whiteside out. Keep him on your tournament backburner.
DeMarcus Cousins (NO): Cousins is expensive, but he’s a priority tonight. The big man is in an excellent spot to thrive, considering Anthony Davis is out, and Nikola Jokic is doubtful on the other side. This could be a DMC takeover game in a high-scoring tilt vs Denver, and I certainly want exposure to him through all formats.
Mason Plumlee (DEN): Denver has played their last two games without Nikola Jokic, where Plumlee hit 27 and 18 FP in 30 and 19 minutes respectively. Some may be discouraged by his most recent performance, but the less minutes came in a runaway loss where Dallas decided to play more small ball. The Nuggets will need Plumlee for 25-30 minutes (as long as he can stay out of foul trouble) against Cousins and company.
Andre Drummond (DET): If you can’t reach for Cousins on FanDuel, Drummond is your next-in-line pick. It’s possible to roster both on DraftKings or Yahoo, and that’s a serious cash game strategy to consider. Drummond has an excellent matchup against a Milwaukee team that ranks 29th vs centers and dead last in rebound rate. He played MLW twice this year already, amassing 88 total fantasy points in 56 minutes.
- Additional Notes:
Nikola Vucevic (ORL) is a sneaky-good GPP option who is also worth a borderline cash look if you need someone in that salary range. Atlanta is beat-up on the frontline opening the door for Vucevic to flex some upside … Robin Lopez (CHI) is a tournament pick who should have a lower than deserved ownership rate. He has been right around his value threshold in each of the past three games, and he’ll face an Indiana team that ranks dead last vs centers and 20th in rebound rate.
FANDUEL LINEUPS – GPP lineup will be added at 6:00 ET Update
DRAFTKINGS LINEUPS – GPP lineup will be added at 6:00 ET Update
YAHOO LINEUPS – GPP lineup will be added at 6:00 ET Update