Daily Fantasy Basketball Jump Ball 11.10 November 10, 2017  |  Jason Bales


 Jason’s Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks

Guard

Top Play:

Lou Williams – With both Patrick Beverley and Danilo Gallinari out tonight, the Los Angeles Clippers are the team to target for value players. Lou Williams tends to play around 25 minutes per game, but he will see closer to 35 tonight. In his last three games, he has over 25 fantasy points in all of them, which should translate to around 30-35 fantasy points tonight. For his price tag, that is value. Roster him in both 50/50 contests and tournaments, even though he will likely be owned at a very high percentage.

Justin’s Rapid Reaction: Williams makes a lot of sense tonight.

Value Play:

Patty Mills – Patty Mills has been up and down this season, but over his last three games, he has over 25 fantasy points in two of them. He is playing around 25-30 minutes per game, and that is going to continue tonight against the Milwaukee Bucks. If Eric Bledsoe suits up for the Bucks tonight, the pace of the game will increase. He is an uptempo player that loves the ball in his hands, so it’ll be interesting to see how him and Giannis Antetokounmpo interact. Either way, Patty Mills will benefit from the increase in overall possessions. His price tag is low enough to roster him in all leagues, but he is best in tournaments.

Justin’s Rapid Reaction: Mills is a solid option for his low price tag.

 

 

Forward

Top Play:

Giannis Antetokounmpo – Giannis Antetokounmpo’s price tag is starting to come down because he has quite a few games under 50 fantasy points over his last few games, but in his last game, he posted just under 60 fantasy points against the Cleveland Cavaliers. Antetokounmpo is matchup-proof, so do not worry too much about the San Antonio Spurs being able to shut him down. His usage rating his over 30, and even if Eric Bledsoe suits up, it would be odd to see that number change significantly. Roster ‘The Greek Freak’ in all leagues.

Justin’s Rapid Reaction: Giannis is an elite option in all leagues.

Value Play: 

Wesley Johnson – Much like Lou Williams, Wesley Johnson is going to benefit from the injuries to both Patrick Beverley and Danilo Gallinari. He posted over 25 fantasy points in his last game, and considering that he will likely see around 35 minutes on the court tonight, he should do something similar. His price tag is very low, making him one of the best fantasy options on the board. His usage rate is very low, but he does not need too many opportunities to hit value. Roster him in all leagues.

Justin’s Rapid Reaction: Johnson makes a solid option, but he isn’t my favorite player.

 

 

Center

Top play:

Dwight Howard – Dwight Howard is one of the most consistent centers in the league this season. He has over 34 fantasy points in three of his last four games. The Boston Celtics are not great defensively against opposing centers, as Al Horford is athletic enough to defend the mid-range jumper, but struggles in the paint, especially against someone that has the rebounding ability of Howard. Howard’s price tag is very reasonable, and he has great upside. Roster him in both 50/50 contests and tournaments.

Justin’s Rapid Reaction: Howard is one of my favorite options in all leagues.

Value play:

Dewayne Dedmon – Dewayne Dedmon showed flashes last season, but nothing like what he did against the Boston Celtics in his last game. He posted over 40 fantasy points in 35 minutes on the court. He should see around 30 minutes tonight against the Detroit Pistons, and while he will not out-rebound Andre Drummond, he will score. Drummond is not fantastic defensively, and Dedmon has the ability to shoot, even from three-point range. Expect him to use his athletic ability to shoot from mid-range and deeper. Dedmon can be rostered in all formats.

Justin’s Rapid Reaction: Dedmon is a fairly consistent option that comes with tremendous upside.

 

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Justin’s Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks

 

Guard

Top Play:

Khris Middleton – Middleton comes with a surprisingly low price tag for his upside. He has played at least 38 minutes in four of his last five games, scoring at least 50 DK points in three of those games. In those games, Middleton is averaging 30.0 points, 6.3 rebounds, 9.0 assists, and 1.7 blocks per game. He does come with a bit of risk, but the Spurs have struggled against the shooting guard this season. Middle is an elite option in all leagues.

Jason’s Rapid Reaction: This will be a slower game, but Middleton is still worth consideration in all leagues.

Value Play:      

Jerian Grant – Grant has lost some of his minutes recently, which comes as a bit of a concern, but he continues to flash upside. On the season, he is averaging 8.8 points, 4.1 rebounds, 6.8 assists, and 1.1 steals in 28.2 minutes per game. He has seen significantly more minutes at home this season, where he will play tonight. He gets a solid matchup against the Indiana Pacers, who will be looking to push the pace tonight. Grant can be considered in all leagues for his price tag.

Jason’s Rapid Reaction: I’m only interested in Grant in tournaments.

 

 

Forward

Top Play:

TJ Warren – Warren comes with quite a bit of risk, but he also comes with elite upside. Over his last 10 games, he has scored 43.75, 61.5, 37.25, and 36.25 fantasy points, displaying the elite potential for his current price tag. He gets an elite matchup against the Orlando Magic in what should be the fastest paced game of the night. Warren does come with some risk, but he is an elite tournament option tonight.

Jason’s Rapid Reaction: TJ Warren has ridiculous upside. Roster him in tournaments.

Value Play: 

Derrick Favors – It’s tough to get behind Favors, who has seen inconsistent minutes this season. Overall, he’s averaging 10.7 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 1.3 assists in 26.4 minutes per game. He comes with tremendous upside when given the minutes, and he gets a great matchup against the Miami Heat tonight. Miami currently ranks 27th in the NBA against the power forward, and Favors can be considered as a salary relief option tonight.

Jason’s Rapid Reaction: Derrick Favor is definitely tough to get behind. Pass.

 

 

Center

Top play:

DeAndre Jordan – Jordan isn’t a big part of the Clippers offense, but he is a walking double double. On the season, he’s averaging 10.1 points, 14.3 rebounds, 1.0 assist, and 1.2 blocks per game. He gets a solid matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder, and Jordan comes with the points for 20 points and 20 rebounds in a game. He still comes with a reasonable price tag, and Jordan makes a high upside tournament option tonight.

Jason’s Rapid Reaction: DeAndre Jordan is a solid option tonight. The Clippers are missing a couple of starters.

Value play: 

Robin Lopez – Lopez has quietly been performing well this season. He has scored double digit points in every game. Overall, he is averaging 15.3 points, 6.1 rebounds, 2.2 assists, and 1.1 blocks per game. He is a fairly consistent option that comes with high upside, as well. He gets a good matchup against the Pacers, who rank 26th against the center this season. Lopez can be used in all leagues.

Jason’s Rapid Reaction: Robin Lopez has been solid. He is a decent option, but there are better tonight.

 

Both Writers Will Gladly Respond to Questions and Comments on Twitter at @balessjustin and @thedominatordfs.

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