NBA: Outside the Box (11.12)
November 12, 2016 | Jason Bales
The NBA regular season is finally underway! With that, Outside the Box is back in action, as well. This season, Outside the Box will be a little bit different. Instead of two recommendations at guard, forward, and center, I will recommend three solid tournament options regardless of price tag and three very cheap options. This should better help our readers construct everyday lineups. Again, I am looking for players that are going to be owned low, have very high upside, and are priced reasonably.
James Harden (vs SAS, $11,300) – James Harden has been one of the best guard options in the league of recent. He posted over 60 fantasy points in four straight games now, and it does not look like he will be slowing down any time soon. Against the San Antonio Spurs, which was his latest outing, he triple-doubled. Tonight, he gets to play the Spurs again. This game should stay tight, forcing Harden into big minutes and upping his effort level. Use him in all formats.
Andre Drummond (at DEN, $7,500) – Andre Drummond is one of the highest upside centers in the league. He posted over 40 fantasy points in three of his last four games, and his ceiling is around 70. The Denver Nuggets are one of the worst teams in the league against opposing centers, and Drummond could be in for another big 20 rebound, 20 point night. In his last game against the Nuggets, Drummond posted over 50 fantasy points in 33 minutes. As long as he does not foul early, it should be a great outing for the Detroit Pistons’ big man.
Derrick Favors (at MIA, $6,300) – Derrick Favors started the season off slow, but it looks like he has fully recovered from his knee injury now. In his last three games, he has 44, 34, and 39.75 fantasy points. His price tag is low because of his lack of production during the first couple games of the season. The Miami Heat are not horrible offensively, but Favors price tag is entirely too low. He should easily hit value with added upside. against the Philadelphia 76ers a couple of games ago, he posted 44 fantasy points in only 29 minutes on the court. He should play around 35 minutes tonight.
Justin Hamilton (at PHX, $4,100) – Justin Hamilton finally impressed fantasy owners in his latest outing. He posted over 30 fantasy points in 23 minutes against the New York Knicks. Tonight, he should play similar minutes against the Phoenix Suns. The Suns are going to push the pace of the game, giving Hamilton added upside. While expecting 30 plus fantasy points is not realistic tonight, knowing that the possibility exists is enough to warrant rostering him in tournaments. Do not use him in 50/50 contests.
Al Jefferson (vs BOS, $3,700) – Al Jefferson struggled in his latest outing, posting only 16.25 fantasy points in 22 minutes. In his three prior games, he posted over 20 fantasy points in all of them. In fact, against the Sixers two games ago, he posted just under 30 fantasy points in only 20 minutes on the court. He has great upside tonight against the Boston Celtics for his price tag. He should continue to play consistent minutes, so hitting value for Jefferson is likely, while crushing value is possible.
Kelly Olynyk (at IND, $3,300) – Kelly Olynyk is one of the best tournament options on the board tonight. His price tag is low, and he is currently playing big minutes for the Boston Celtics. The Indiana Pacers are going to push the pace of this game, benefitting Olynyk’s fantasy opportunities. In his last game, he posted over 30 fantasy points in 30 minutes against the New York Knicks. Unfortunately, he is not consistent. Two games ago, he posted only 11 fantasy points in 26 minutes. Regardless, use him in tournaments.