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The Day Before Tomorrow – Fantasy NBA News and Notes for January 23rd

posted by Scott

Yesterday’s News:

-Kyrie Irving la-sp-nba-20130123-001was simply masterful in what was supposed to be a tough matchup with the Celtics defense last night. He dropped an insane 40 points, 3 rebounds, 5 assists, 2 steals and 1 three on Rajon Rondo and Boston. Irving is an unstoppable scorer at home when he’s rested right now and he’s a very good one even when both those things aren’t true. He has a chance to be fantasy’s best point guard this season and there’s nothing stopping him from elevating his game even further.

-Blake Griffin had his second straight monster game and has now double-doubled in the second game of a back-to-back in 5 of 8 tries. Against the Thunder last night, Griffin was the go-to-guy for the Clippers with Chris Paul sidelined by a knee injury. He scored 31 points to go with 11 boards, 5 assists, 2 steals and 1 block in 37 minutes of run. Griffin throws up a dud every now and then, but the Clips have a ton of weapons when Paul is healthy, so that is to be expected now and then. 

-Ersan Ilyasova was another guy who posted his second straight dominant performance. He scored 27 points to go with 16 rebounds, 2 assists, 3 steals, 1 block and threes. I’m buying this one. After playing just 27 minutes in his last big performance, he was rolled out there for 36 on Tuesday, a great sign going forward. His buy low window has closed.

-JJ Redick made a surprise start at shooting guard for the Magic on Tuesday,  just his 5th start of the season. Redick played 37 minutes, scoring 26 points with 2 rebounds, 3 assists and 5 threes. Starting generally takes Redick from right around 30 minutes to up near 35-40, so this is great news for his value if it continues.

Top Lines to Target:

(Those who target the night’s highest over/unders should reap fantasy success)

If you play DFS, be sure to check out our new Daily Fantasy Sports News Page.

DEN @ HOU 216.5

PHX @ SAC 203

OKC @ GSW 205.5

Strong Plays for Tonight:

(Guys I am trying to get into lineups tonight, ranked on comparison to perceived value.)

My early daily DraftDay Freeroll lineup is to the right.Screen shot 2013-01-23 at 9.45.03 AM

Check out our EFF Matchups to determine the best plays for yourself.

Point Guards:

  1. Russell Westbrook
  2. Ty Lawson
  3. Mike Conley

Value Play: Isaiah Thomas

Westbrook gets a banged up Steph Curry on defense, who isn’t all that good at it when he’s fully healthy. Lawson will lead the charge against the HOU team that struggles versus the PG in a game with a huge over/under. Conley gets the Lakers who were just torched by Kirk Hinrich, yes that happened. Thomas is now the undisputed starting PG for the Kings and good things should follow.

Shooting Guards:

  1. Paul George
  2. Joe Johnson
  3. Kyle Korver

Value Play: Lance Stephenson

George has struggled with his shot on the road, but he’s got a solid matchup tonight and he should be able to make up for a poor shooting night with his impressive peripheral stats if needed. Johnson played well last game versus the Knicks and is one of the few shooting guards who looks like he’s price correctly tonight. Korver is playing heavy minutes for the banged up Hawks and is playing at a high-level. Stephenson is an excellent value play as he’s playing over 30 minutes right now.

Small Forwards:

  1. Kevin Durant
  2. Andrei Kirilenko
  3. Danilo Gallinari

Value Play: Jimmy Butler

Durant has been the best player in the league this season and the Warriors have no one who can cover him in what should be a fairly competitve game. AK47 continues to play heavy minutes with the Wolves banged up and should provide another excellent stat line tonight. Gallinari has been very good of late outside of a dud against the Thunder in a blowout and has a solid matchup tonight with Chandler Parsons in a high-scoring tilt. Butler is expected to start for Deng if he can’t go again and it looks like the Bulls may hold him out one more.

Power Forwards:

  1. Carlos Boozer
  2. Josh Smith
  3. Serge Ibaka

Value Play: Derrick Williams

Boozer remains the Bulls leading scorer and has been a double-double machine of late and he has a nice matchup with the Pistons coming of a game last night. With Al Horford out tonight, the Hawks are going to need a big night from Josh Smith in a great matchup with the Bobcats.  Ibaka continues to be consistent and offer upside in competitive games. Derrick Williams is coming off one of his best games as a pro in which he played 37 minutes and he should come close to that again tonight.

Centers:

  1. Brook Lopez
  2. DeMarcus Cousins
  3. Omer Asik

Value Play: Andre Drummond

Lopez has been really consistent of late, in both minutes and production and he gets the undermanned Wolves frontline tonight. Cousins is beasting right now and the Suns bigs aren’t very imposing. The Nuggets play a center at all times, so the Rockets won’t be able to go small in this one, so Asik should get a lot of run. Drummond continued his hot streak last night playing just 24 minutes, but double-doubling for 11 points and 11 rebounds and continues to shoot 70% in almost every game.


Scott

I write about NBA things before they happen @fakebasketball and have very real dreams about very fake sports. I also write the Matchup Machine @thefakefootball

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