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The Day Before Tomorrow – Fantasy NBA News and Notes for January 20th

posted by Scott

Yesterday’s News:

-Anthony Davis anthony-davis-hornetsfinally looks to be breaking out of his minutes induced slump. On Saturday, he had 20 points, 12 rebounds, 4 assists, 1 steal and 4 blocks in a kind of line we haven’t seen from him recently. He played 31 minutes, his most in 8 games, which is about all he needs to put up solid lines. He was just 2 of 7 from the free throw line though.

-Damian Lillard is another rookie beginning to get hot again as well. Lillard posted 26 points and 10 assists last night against Brandon Jennings and the Bucks, but the Blazers late comeback attempt was thwarted. The Blazers continue to show no confidence in their bench and are playing all of their starters heavy minutes, so don’t look for them to slow down too much.

-Jarrett Jack continued to impress last night even with Stephen Curry back in the starting lineup. Jack still played 35 minutes off the bench and posted 25 points, 12 assists and 2 steals on the night. He was facing his former team, so maybe Mark Jackson gave him some extra run off the bench, but it could have had to do with the absence of David Lee as well. Either way, Jack is hot and he should be in lineups going forward.

-Ersan Ilyasova finally had that breakout game we’ve all been waiting for since Scott Skiles left the team. He still played just 27 minutes, but scored 27 points with 14 rebounds, 4 assists and a blocked shot. Ilyasova also knocked down all 3 of his three point attempts in what is one of the most impressive lines of the season by any player, especially considering the limited minutes. Look for him to pick it up a bit going forward.

Top Lines to Target:

(Those who target the night’s highest over/unders should reap fantasy success)

If you play DFS, be sure to check out our new Daily Fantasy Sports News Page.

OKC @ DEN

Strong Plays for Tonight:

(Guys I am trying to get into lineups tonight, ranked on comparison to perceived value.)

My early daily DraftDay Freeroll lineup is to the right.Screen shot 2013-01-20 at 9.01.40 AM

Check out our EFF Matchups to determine the best plays for yourself.

Point Guards:

  1. Russell Westbrook
  2. Rajon Rondo
  3. Darren Collison

Value Play: Will Bynum

Westbrook gets the Denver team he steamrolled earlier this week. Rondo is simply the second best point guard available tonight and gets a solid matchup with the Pistons. Collison is continuing to play 30 minutes nightly and should be solid once again  Bynum may pick up extra run after Brandon Knight was benched the other day.

Shooting Guards:

  1. OJ Mayo
  2. Arron Afflalo
  3. JJ Redick

Value Play: Thabo Sefolosha

Mayo is facing the Magic shooting guards, which isn’t a perfect matchup, but he’s simply the most high-upside shooting guard available today. Afflalo should continue his solid play versus the Mavericks in what should be a fairly high-scoring game. Redick continues to play 30 minutes in every game. Sefolosha has been solid all season and has been even more important to the Thunder with Harden gone.

Small Forwards:

  1. Kevin Durant
  2. Paul Pierce
  3. Shawn Marion

Value Play: Tayshawn Prince

Durant is coming off a 52-point game and it would be very tough to sit him tonight. Pierce is the only other consistent small forward on the table today that has a solid matchup, versus the Pistons. Marion has been a bit up and down, but he should be solid versus the undersized Magic today. Prince is still playing heavy minutes despite making inconsistent fantasy contributions.

Power Forwards:

  1. Dirk Nowitzki
  2. Serge Ibaka
  3. Glen Davis

Value Play: Jared Sullinger

Dirk hasn’t been playing up to his standards yet, but he did get to take 19 shots last time out and that’s a good sign for him going forward. Ibaka hasn’t been himself of late, but his price warrants a start in a matchup like this. Davis has seen his minutes steadily increase and he’s going to get his jumper going soon. Sullinger’s main problem is foul trouble, so at a bargain price, it’s easy to bet against it.

Centers:

  1. Greg Monroe
  2. Nikola Vucevic
  3. Elton Brand

Value Play: Andre Drummond

Monroe should exploit the aging and undersized frontcourt of the Celtics like most others do. Vucevic hasn’t been slowed at all by the return of Glen Davis and he played 40 minutes last game. Brand has thouroughly outplayed Chris Kaman and a lineup change me be in the works. Drummond should do a lot of the same things to exploit Boston as Monroe, but even better, though for less court time.


Scott

I write about NBA things before they happen @fakebasketball and have very real dreams about very fake sports. I also write the Matchup Machine @thefakefootball

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