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The Day Before Tomorrow – Fantasy NBA News and Notes for January 12th

posted by Scott

Yesterday’s News:

-Luol Deng abused the lottery_playoffs_noah_dengKnicks defense last night on 13 for 18 shooting from the field for 33 points while adding 5 rebounds, 4 assists, 1 steal, 1 block and 3 threes. Further proof the Knicks early season defense was an aberration  the Bulls dismantled the Knicks in the first half, only to see them mount a comeback and make it fairly interesting at the end.

-Paul Millsap scored 20 points with 13 rebounds, 5 assists, and 2 steals for the Jazz on Friday. With crowded frontcourt in Utah, he’s been a bit up and down this season, but we know what kind of value he can provide when getting solid minutes. The best bet for his owners is a trade of either Millsap or Al Jefferson to clear more minutes for everyone.

-Damian Lillard had easily his best game of the season last night despite the Blazers losing to the Warriors. Lillard scored 37 points on a ridiculous 15 for 25 shooting (including 7 threes) while adding 6 rebounds, 4 assists, and 2 steals. Lillard is proving to be an elite scorer almost every night in the NBA and while this wasn’t a tough matchup, it was against a pretty good team.

-Earl Clark posted a double-double with 10 points, 10 rebounds, 3 assists, 1 steal and 3 blocks in 37 minutes while making his first start of the season on Friday. Clark has really emerged as a solid player for the Lakers with all their frontcourt injuries and may have carved out a role in the regular rotation.

-Kyrie Irving played well through the flu despite struggling with his shot on Friday. He scored 28 points with 3 rebounds, 7 assists, and 5 steals. He continues to provide first-round value and still has plenty of room to improve in a few categories. Irving should bounce back from the poor shooting night next time out.

Top Lines to Target:

(Those who target the night’s highest over/unders should reap fantasy success)

If you play DFS, be sure to check out our new Daily Fantasy Sports News Page.

HOU @ PHI

MIA @ SAC

Strong Plays for Tonight:

(Guys I am trying to get into lineups tonight, ranked on comparison to perceived value.)

My early daily DraftDay Freeroll lineup is to the right.Screen shot 2013-01-12 at 10.14.56 AM

Check out our EFF Matchups to determine the best plays for yourself.

Point Guards:

  1. Jrue Holiday
  2. Mike Conley
  3. Jeremy Lin

Value Play: George Hill

Holiday should be easily to the top point guard play tonight taking on Jeremy Lin and the Rockets. Conley has really bounced back nicely of late and has a great matchup with the Mavericks and Darren Collison, who has struggled on defense all year long. Lin has been pretty consistent, but throws up a dud every once in a while, but it’s hard to argue with his consistency and upside with the lack of point guard options tonight. Hill is still battling back from being sick, but his priced has dropped nicely.

Shooting Guards:

  1. James Harden
  2. Paul George
  3. Jared Dudley

Value Play: Tony Allen

Harden won’t get Avery Bradley tonight and he should bounce back from a fairly slow night in tonight’s matchup with the Sixers who he played well against last time. George is coming off back to back huge games and gets the Bobcats at home tonight. Dudley is back to playing around 40 minutes again and should provide great value tonight against the Bulls. Allen is providing excellent value of late and even played 39 minutes last game, he may be needed for that again with OJ Mayo coming to town.

Small Forwards:Screen shot 2013-01-12 at 10.16.11 AM

  1. Rudy Gay
  2. Luol Deng
  3. Evan Turner

Value Play: John Salmons

Gay is playing well again over the last two games even with the trade talks looming over his head, he should fair nicely against the Mavs tonight as well. Deng went off last night and has an even better matchup tonight and his price hasn’t risen too much. I expect Turner to turn things around starting tonight as he’s playing heavy minutes in what should be a high scoring game. Salmons is still playing solid minutes, but is showing almost no upside.

Power Forwards:

  1. Josh Smith
  2. Carlos Boozer
  3. David West

Value Play: Andre Drummond

Josh Smith is playing like his old self again and he’s got a nice matchup tonight with the Wizards and their sub-par big men. Boozer cooled off a bit last night, but he should pick it up and my favorite PF matchup to target versus the Suns. West has been ice cold from the field, but he’s still getting minutes and shots. He should bounce back versus the Bobcats un-NBA-like frontcourt. Drummond isn’t playing heavy minutes, but he’s been providing some of the best value in the league recently averaging 3 blocks over his last 5 games.

Centers:

  1. Joakim Noah
  2. DeMarcus Cousins
  3. Omer Asik

Value Play: Iah Mahinmi

Noah did bounce back last night versus the Knicks and he should continue to ride that right into tonight against the Suns. Cousins has been really solid, this game overall worries me, but the Heat haven’t done anything to slow big guys. Asik’s price has finally dropped to match up with his recent play, he should be solid against the Philly bigs. Mahinmi picked up extra time last game due to Hibbert’s back spasms and could do so again tonight.


Scott

I write about NBA things before they happen @fakebasketball and have very real dreams about very fake sports. I also write the Matchup Machine @thefakefootball

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