As everyone is getting prepared for the 2012-2013 Fantasy Basketball Season I am going to start a series of players I ranked higher or lower than the rankings on espn.com. The first column is Point Guards so let’s get started!
Steph Curry-PG-Golden State Warriors ( Me- 6th PG, ESPN -11th PG)- Does anyone remember when Steph Curry was a 2nd round pick in average sized leagues last year? Well, I do. Curry battled a nasty ankle injury all year and only averaged 28 minutes played a game which led to career low stats of 14.7ppg, 3.4 rpg, and 5.3 apg. Curry is reportadely healthy entering the season and has looked good so far in the preseason. Remember that Monta Ellis is now in Milwaukee so Curry will have the ball in his hands for most of the shot-clock on most Warrior possessions. I fully expect Steph to rebound to his sophomore statistics of around 18 ppg, 4 rbg, and 7 apg along with hitting 2 3-pointers a game. I expect a Curry rebound and to stay healthy making him a great value in round 4 if you can snag him there.
Tony Parker-PG-San Antonio Spurs (Me- 10th PG, ESPN- 12th PG)- These aren’t your Spurs from 2006. Duncan can barely jump and Ginobli’s body is constantly bruised and battered. Tony Parket seems like he has been around forever, but in reality he is only 30 years old. Duncan and Ginobli are playing limited minutes, but Parker has kept his minute per game level consistent. Parket often got into a few choice words with coach Gregg Popovich because the coach wanted to frequently rest him. Parket averaged 18.3 ppg, 2.9 rpg, and 7.7 apg last season. I look for more of that to continue with Parker having more offensive freedom with Duncan and Ginobli playing limited minutes.
Steve Nash-PG-Los Angeles Lakers- (Me-12th PG, ESPN – 9th PG)- Nash’s move to the Lakers looks good in real life, but in fantasy will likely put a damper in Nash’s usual stunning production. He has a lot of weapons to pass to in Bryant, Gasol, and Howard, but his overall production outside of assists is likely to slip even further. Check out Nash’s PPG numbers from the last 3 seasons, 16.5 ppg to 14.7 ppg to 12.5 ppg last year. His scoring looks to dip even further around the 11 ppg range with less shots to go around. Nash provides elite assist numbers and FT% numbers, but other than that provides little help as he doesn’t even average a steal per game from the PG position. Do you want to pay a 3rd or 4th round price tag for a player who only contributes in 2 categories?
Raymond Felton-PG-New York Knicks- (Me-22nd PG, ESPN- 16th PG)- The last time Felton was playing in New York he put up very good numbers. However, he put up 17 ppg and 9 apg while playing a crazy 38 minutes per game in an up tempo offense. D’Antoni is gone so look for Mike Woodson to use a more conservative offense and if you think Felton is going to play 38 minutes per game then you are down right crazy! The Knicks have Jason Kidd, JR Smith, and Ian Shumpert to take minutes away from Felton at the guard position. Look for a repeat of his 14 ppg and 6 apg making him a below average point guard. Felton survied early in his career with his explosiveness and in Portland last year he looked sluggish and starting to develop a good sized mid-section. I cannot get that out of my head! Stay away at his current price tag!
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